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October 01, 2014

Very Close for Maryland Governor

A new Gonzales Research poll in Maryland finds Anthony Brown (D) with a small lead over Larry Hogan (R) in the race for governor, 47% to 43%.

Deadlocked in New Hampshire

A new New England College Poll in New Hampshire finds the U.S. Senate race a dead heat between Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) and challenger Scott Brown (R), 47% to 47%.

Secret Service Chief Resigns

Julia Pierson, the director of the Secret Service, is resigning in the wake of several security breaches, the New York Times reports.

"The resignation came less than a day after lawmakers from both parties assailed Ms. Pierson's leadership and said they feared for the lives of the president and others in the protection of the agency."

Washington Post: "Support for Julia Pierson rapidly declined on Capitol Hill just hours after a congressional hearing where she avoided answering direct questions and gave conflicting accounts of a incident in which a man jumped the White House fence and ran inside the executive residence."

Orman Has Lead in Kansas

A new USA Today/Suffolk University poll in Kansas finds Greg Orman (I) leading Sen. Pat Roberts (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 46% to 41%.

In the race for governor, Paul Davis (D) leads Gov. Sam Brownback (R), 46% to 42%.

Walker Holds Lead in Wisconsin

A new Marquette University Law School poll in Wisconsin finds Gov. Scott Walker (R) leading challenger Mary Burke (D) in the race for governor among likely voters, 50% to 45%.

Crist Grabs Back Lead in Florida

A new SurveyUSA poll in Florida finds Charlie Crist (D) leading Gov. Rick Scott (R) in the race for governor, 46% to 40%.

Bonus Quote of the Day

"I could have wiped Iran off the map with the weapons that we had, but in the process a lot of innocent people would have been killed, probably including the hostages."

-- Jimmy Carter, in an interview with CNBC, defending his decisions even if it meant he didn't show "that I was strong and resolute and, um, manly."

On Wonk Wire

Some great clicks over at Wonk Wire:

Half Right

Kansas U.S. Senate candidate Greg Orman (I) slams both Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) and Mitch McConnell (R-KY) in the same ad.

See more...

Arkansas Candidate May Be Disqualified

Officials have cancelled the voter registration of Arkansas candidate for Attorney General Leslie Rutledge (R) for being registered to vote in multiple places, according to the Blue Hog Report.

The implications: "First, for the AG candidate of the party who likes to scream about voter fraud to be registered in two (or three) places at once is ironic and amusing on its own. However, the bigger implication is Article 19, section 3, of the Arkansas Constitution, which states: 'No persons shall be elected to, or appointed to fill a vacancy in, any office who does not possess the qualifications of an elector.'"

"The qualifications of an elector" include this that the person must be "Lawfully registered to vote in the election."

Quote of the Day

"I've not talked to him since he's been elected."

-- Speaker John Boehner (R-OH), in an interview with the Cincinnati Enquirer, on Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX).

Romney is Still Buying Houses

New York Times: "Despite being dinged for conspicuous real estate consumption in 2012, he's building a not-at-all-humble mansion in Utah, with 5,900 square feet of living space, an outdoor gazebo, fire pit and spa. (Another 1 Percent touch: a 'secret door' leading to a storage room.) It will be Mr. Romney's fifth home - or his fourth - details, details - if he manages to sell his $12 million waterfront estate in La Jolla, Calif. (of car-elevator fame)"

Abbott Holds Solid Lead in Texas

A new Texas Lyceum poll finds Greg Abbott (R) leading Wendy Davis (D) in the race for Texas governor by nine points, 49% to 40%.

Bathroom Sex Sting Continues to Cost Craig

Former Sen. Larry Craig's (R-IS) 2007 arrest in a Minnesota airport bathroom sex sting continues to cost the former senator, Roll Call reports.

"A federal judge in the District of Columbia has ordered the Idaho Republican to pay $242,535 to the Department of the Treasury... Federal Election Commission officials filed the complaint against Craig in 2012, alleging he illegally converted campaign money for personal use because the legal expenditures were not 'made in connection with Mr. Craig's campaign for federal office and were not ordinary and necessary expenses incurred in connection with his duties as a Senator.'"

Events Have Controlled Obama

First Read: "Every news cycle introduces the American public to another unbelievable -- and usually negative -- story. Over the summer, it was the rise of ISIS and the surface-to-air missile that destroyed a jetliner over Eastern Ukraine. Then there was the flood of unaccompanied Central American minors coming to the U.S.-Mexico border. After that, the beheadings of the American journalists in Syria. And now? On Tuesday, we learned about the first confirmed Ebola case diagnosed in the United States, and we also found about the U.S. Secret Service's latest misstep -- an armed contractor with a criminal record was allowed on an elevator next to the president of the United States."

"Take all of these stories together, and what you get is news-cycle whiplash, where it's one bad or scary story after another. The Ebola and Secret Service stories, in particular, underscore a feeling of insecurity for the country... Politically, it's difficult to dismiss how these negative storylines have defined Obama's sixth year in office and have highlighted a, well, lack of control over events. As we've said before, events have controlled Obama's second term more than the other way around."

Florida Had Longest Voting Lines

"Voters in Florida waited far longer than those in other states to cast their votes in the 2012 election, hampered by long ballots and cutbacks in early voting options," McClatchy reports.

"Voters in the state stood in line more than 34 minutes on average, significantly longer than ballot-casters did in any other state reviewed by the Government Accountability Office, Congress' watchdog. The shortest waits? Alaska, at just 1.4 minutes."

Republicans Seek Big Gains in House

"House Republicans have been destined for modest gains in the midterms despite a favorable political environment. Now, just five weeks until Election Day, the party is raising its ambitions, jumping into Democratic strongholds long thought to be beyond the GOP's reach," Politico reports.

"The goal: Achieve their biggest House majority since Harry Truman's presidency."

Haley Holds Big Lead in South Carolina

A new Winthrop University poll in South Carolina finds Gov. Nikki Haley (R) holds a 10-point lead over rival Vincent Sheheen (D), 44% to 34%.

Ryan Would Not Run If Romney Does

Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) told HuffPost Live he definitely won't mount a presidential campaign if his former running mate Mitt Romney decides to give it another try.

Said Ryan: "I wouldn't if he were. I would support Mitt. If he were to run, I would not."

GOP Balances Showing Concern While Blasting Obama

"President Obama must be touched by all the concern Republicans are showing him these days. As Congress examines security breaches at the White House, even opposition lawmakers who have spent the last six years fighting his every initiative have expressed deep worry for his security," the New York Times reports.

"Yet it would not be all that surprising if Mr. Obama were a little wary of all the professed sympathy. Although the target of the legislative scrutiny is the Secret Service, not the president, the furor over security has left the White House on the defensive. At Tuesday's Capitol Hill hearing and at the daily White House news briefing, the questions fueled an air of scandal: Who knew what when, and was there a cover-up?"

Christie Approval Crashing in New Jersey

A new Quinnipiac poll in New Jersey finds voters give Gov. Chris Christie (R) one of his lowest job approval ratings ever, as 46% approve and 45% disapprove.

Just 11 months ago Christie won re-election with 60% of the vote.

Kasich Headed for Landslide

A new Quinnipiac poll in Ohio finds Gov. John Kasich (R) leading challenger Ed FitzGerald (D) by 22 points, 57% to 35%.

Said pollster Peter Brown: "Not only is Gov. Kasich getting a healthy share of Democrats, but he also has a double- digit lead among women, something almost unheard of in this era of the gender gap."

Armed Man Rode Elevator With Obama

"A security contractor with a gun and three convictions for assault and battery was allowed on an elevator with President Obama during a Sept. 16 trip to Atlanta, violating Secret Service protocols," the Washington Post reports.

"Obama was not told about the lapse in his security."

Quinn Tops Rauner in Illinois

A new Rasmussen poll in Illinois shows Gov. Pat Quinn (D) has overtaken challenger Bruce Rauner (R) in the race for govenror, 44% to 42%.

September 30, 2014

Hagan Still Up in North Carolina

A new Civitas poll in North Carolina finds Sen. Kay Hagan (D) leading challenger Thom Tillis (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 46% to 41%, when leaners are allocated to each candidate.

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