January 28, 2012
Gallup finds that the historically high gap between partisans' job approval ratings of President Obama continued during his third year in office, with an average of 80% of Democrats and 12% of Republicans approving of the job he was doing.
In fact, that 68 point partisan gap is tied for the fourth highest dating back to the Eisenhower administration. Only George W. Bush's fourth, fifth, and sixth years in office showed higher degrees of political polarization.
January 27, 2012
The
Washingtonian reports that the ultimate victor of the presidential election, no matter who he is, "may not get to claim the ultimate prize: the Oval Office."
Beginning sometime next year the President may be relocated from the White House West Wing and the iconic Oval Office to temporary office space next door while his office undergoes needed repairs and restoration.
A new
Dixie Strategies/First Coast News poll in Florida shows Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich tied at 35% each, with Rick Santorum at 9% and Ron Paul at 7%.
Every other recent poll shows Romney with a single digit lead.
"Indulging in a tale of make-believe" is rare for New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, but the
New York Times notes he actually recommended two spy mysteries this week by John LeCarre:
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy and
The Honourable Schoolboy.
Of the latter, he said, "It's 600 pages, it's mostly description, there is almost nothing that happens. But it's fascinating!"
"Virtually the only other work of fiction publicly endorsed by the mayor has been
Johnny Tremain, the 1943 patriotic children's story that Mr. Bloomberg frequently cites as a favorite. His personal library now has several first editions, gifts from friends."
A new
EPIC-MRA poll in Michigan finds Mitt Romney with a small lead in the GOP presidential race with 31%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 26%, Ron Paul at 14% and Rick Santorum at 10%.
The Michigan primary is scheduled for February 28.
The poll also shows President Obama leading both Romney, 48% to 40%, and Gingrich, 51% to 38%, in general election match ups.
We don't know much about the financial backers of Super PACs, but investor Foster Friess gave a fascinating interview to
Bloomberg TV on why he supports Rick Santorum.
Said Friess: "Sometimes I sit back in my armchair and say it would be neat if we could have Santorum as president and put Mitt Romney in charge of the entire economy. Do what we did with homeland security. Put all of the agencies under one roof and make Mitt Romney minister of the economy... I think if I suggested it [to Santorum], he would consider that fairly inappropriate at this stage. I would suggest to Rick that if he becomes president, just turn the keys over to Air Force One to Herman Cain and let him fly around the world selling America."
Gawker: "Two readers have sent us confirmation that Edward Davies, Mitt Romney's militantly atheist father-in-law, was indeed posthumously converted to Mormonism by his family, despite the fact that when he was alive he regarded all religions as 'hogwash.'"
Newt Gingrich plans to release "a brutal new ad accusing Romney of trying to mislead, deceive, and distort his way to the White House,"
ABC News reports.
The money line: "What kind of man would mislead, distort and deceive just to win an election? This man would: Mitt Romney."
The ad is still being produced but accuses Romney of lying in last night's debate about his blind trust and about his vote for Sen. Paul Tsongas (D-MA) in 1992.
A new
American Research Group poll in Arizona finds Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney are tied with 32% each, followed by Ron Paul with 12% and Rick Santorum with 10%.
The Arizona Republican primary is scheduled for February 28.
"The blind trust is an age-old ruse. You give a blind trust rules. You can say to a blind trust, don't invest in properties which would be in conflict of interest or where the seller might think they're going to get an advantage from me."
-- Mitt Romney, in a
1994 debate with Sen. Ted Kennedy (D-MA).
Romney currently defends his own investments on the grounds he can't control money in a "blind trust."
See more...
"I hope not."
-- Former Sen. Bob Dole (R-KS), when asked by
CBS News whether he thought Newt Gingrich had a chance to be president.
NBC News has video of Newt Gingrich spokesman R.C. Hammond approaching
Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-UT), a surrogate for Mitt Romney, asking him
questions with a recorder open after a Gingrich event in Florida.
"This tit-for-tat continued for the next several minutes turning to
topics of Gingrich not being able to get on the ballot of his home state
of Virginia to using the Thomas System to look up legislative
records... The Romney surrogates, according to a campaign source, are
attending these events to rebut the speaker and provide another
narrative to the press. They stand in the back and talk to press when
approached, rarely speaking to voters unless the voter initiates
conversation."
Mark Halperin: "After leaving Gingrich alone until it was too late in South Carolina, Boston focused on Newt from the start in Florida. And, like when Perry threatened the frontrunner, Team Romney has been incredibly effective tearing down Gingrich, going after him on the campaign trail by sending surrogates to crash his events, hitting him with TV and radio ads, holding daily media conference calls to drive choice themes, lining up newsmaking anti-Newt statements from people like Bob Dole and using Matt Drudge."
The Republican presidential debate last night went very poorly for Newt
Gingrich, and one reason was his inability to land a decisive blow
against debate moderator Wolf Blitzer. The
Los Angeles Times notes that
unlike past moderators, Blitzer refused to "let Gingrich off the hook"
and received some decisive support from Mitt Romney.
It is also
noteworthy that Blitzer did not begin the debate with a question of his
own, instead turning to the audience and social media for questions
throughout the debate.
Ron Paul has denied writing racially-charged pamphlets he published during the 1990s but the
Washington Post reports "people close to Paul's operations said he was deeply involved in the company that produced the newsletters, Ron Paul & Associates, and closely monitored its operations, signing off on articles and speaking to staff members virtually every day."
Said a former secretary in his company: "It was his newsletter, and it was under his name, so he always got to see the final product... He would proof it."
The most interesting finding in the latest
NBC/Wall Street Journal poll is that the Republican presidential candidates are in net-negative territory when it comes to favorability.
First Read: "Romney was exposed in two ways in the poll - (1) he has a conservative problem staring him right in the face. That hasn't changed. Any time base conservatives -- very conservative voters, Tea Partiers, Southerners, feels there's a viable alternative to Romney, they rally around that person; we've seen this phenomenon for months. And (2) The primary has done damage to Romney. He cannot afford a long primary. If this thing goes to June, that would be very problematic."
"He's already in a bad position. George W. Bush, John McCain, and Bob Dole were all in primary fights and ALL were a net-POSITIVE at this time in the election cycle. In the past 20 years in the poll, no one who went on to be the major party nominee of either party with a net-negative at this point - except John Kerry, and we all know how that turned out. Clearly, Romney is looking like he's getting his momentum back, but he has fundamental problems for the general. The primary has done him no good."
"You know you've had a bad debate when your own spokesman can't spin it as a win,"
Jonathan Karl points out.
When Newt Gingrich's spokesman R.C. Hammond was asked, "Who won?" he could only respond, "It was a push."
"Texas taxpayers were billed almost $800,000 in travel costs for a security detail to travel with Gov. Rick Perry largely on out-of-state events tied to his presidential campaign from September through November," the
Austin American Statesman reports.
The U.S. economy "grew at its fastest pace in more than a year and a half in the fourth quarter, signaling that a sturdier recovery took hold despite troubles in other parts of the world," the
Wall Street Journal reports.
"Gross domestic product -- the value of all goods and services produced -- grew at an annual rate of 2.8% between October and December... That is up from 1.8% growth in the third quarter and 1.3% in the second quarter."
The latest Florida Insider Poll by the
Tampa Bay Times found hat more than three-quarters of the state's most experienced political hands think Mitt Romney ultimately will win the GOP presidential nomination, regardless of what happens in Florida. They also overwhelmingly think Romney would be the strongest general election candidate against President Obama.
However, in a sign of the toll the presidential primary has taken on the GOP field, more than 7 in 10 think Obama will be re-elected in November -- including half of the Republican insiders and every Democrat.
A new
Sunshine State News Poll in Florida finds Mitt Romney leading among likely GOP primary voters with 40%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 31%, Rick Santorum at 12% and Ron Paul at 9%.
A new
Quinnipiac poll shows Romney in front with 38%, followed by Gingrich at 29%, Paul at 14% and Santorum at 12%.
Meanwhile,
Public Policy Polling will do nightly tracking polls from Saturday thru Monday but notes it "seems like that might not really be necessary."
A new
Suffolk University poll in Florida finds Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) leads all four potential Republican challengers in Florida's closely watched U.S. Senate race.
Rep. Connie Mack polled closest, trailing by 10 points in a head-to-head matchup with Nelson, 42% to 32%, with a considerable undecided of 25 percent.
January 26, 2012
An aggressive Mitt Romney came out swinging at Newt Gingrich and didn't stop until he had him wobbling against the ropes. With the lead in most polls and just five days until the Florida primary, he very likely finished off his main rival. It was a superb performance by Romney. Gingrich was terrible.
That said, every moment Romney spends talking about blind trusts and his taxes is a win for Democrats. The longer the Republican primary continues, the worse his appeal is to swing voters. Romney knows this and needs to clinch the nomination as quickly as possible.
Rick Santorum had his best debate yet and scored many points against both Gingrich and Romney. Ron Paul was hilarious but largely irrelevant to the main conversation on the debate stage.
President Obama signaled an aggressive tack for his early re-election campaign in an
ABC News interview.
"How much do you want it?" Diane Sawyer asked.
"Badly, because I think the country needs it," Obama replied.
He added: "Whoever wins the Republican primary is going to be a standard bearer for a vision of the country that I don't think reflects who we are. I'm going to fight as hard as I can with every fiber of my being to make sure that we continue on a path that I think will restore the American dream."
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton "definitively said she wants out of politics,"
ABC News reports.
"During a town hall meeting with State Department employees this morning Clinton said she is ready to step off 'the high wire of American politics.' She said she's paying no attention to the battle for the Republican presidential nomination and hasn't watched any of the debates."
Not many of Newt Gingrich's former House GOP colleagues support his presidential bid, but the
Voice of San Diego found one who does: Former Rep. Duke Cunningham (R-CA), who is in prison for conspiracy and tax evasion.
Cunningham sent a message to Gingrich: "Newt, a voice out of the past. Down but not out and
still fighting. First I do not want anything from you but have been
watching the debates. I have 80% of inmates that would vote for
you. They might not be able to but their extended families
will."
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