Smart Politics analyzed “the last 10 election cycles dating back to 1976 and found that just nine states have backed the eventual Republican nominee in primaries or caucuses each time: Florida, Illinois, Kentucky, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oregon, and Wisconsin (all primary states).”
“Each of these nine states except for Oregon has held at least one primary at the front end of the calendar since 1976, although Florida has done so most consistently during this period… Competitive primary races also took place in Illinois (1980, 2012), Kentucky (1988), Maryland (1980), New Jersey (2008), New York (2000), Ohio (2000, 2012), Oregon (1976), and Wisconsin (1976, 1980, 2012) – with the eventual GOP nominee claiming victory each time.”
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