Nate Silver says Sen. Bernie Sanders could beat Hillary Clinton in Iowa and New Hampshire and lose everywhere else.
“Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa and Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire are really liberal and really white, and that’s the core of Sanders’s support.”
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Hillary Clinton is very, very likely to be the Democratic nominee, not Bernie Sanders. That’s true even if Sanders manages to upset Clinton in both Iowa and New Hampshire. The fact is, the key constituencies of the Democratic Party are likely to back Clinton, and big Sanders audiences aren’t going to change that.”
Nate Cohn says the Sanders surge “is about to hit a wall: the rank and file of the Democratic primary electorate.”
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