Charlie Cook: “In just a few weeks Democrats have gone from driving for what figured to be an easy lay up to having the rest of the season cancelled, with the next season in real doubt. They seemed to have the presidency in hand, a majority in the Senate very likely, and, while winning a majority in the House was always unrealistic, they did seem to have a good chance to cut the GOP majority in half with a gain of between 10 and 20 seats. Instead they allowed the White House to slip from their grasp, gained just two Senate seats, leaving them in the minority, and gained only a half dozen seats in the House, below the bottom end of what thought possible.”
“It only gets worse. Democrats would need a three-seat net gain in the to secure a Senate majority in 2018, a tall order since they’ll be defending 25 seats and Republicans just eight. Of the eight Republican seats up in 2018, just one, that of freshman Sen. Dean Heller in Nevada, is in a state that went for Democrats in either the 2012 or 2016 presidential elections (it voted Democratic in both). No other GOP-held Senate seat appears to be even remotely in danger.”
“Conversely, Democrats are defending some states that have been pretty rough on them in the past.”
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