Joshua Green: “From one angle, Trump’s approach to reelection looks like a disaster: he has middling approval ratings, slim hope of passing new laws, and is attacking his own administration.”
“On the other hand, there’s no sign at all that Republicans are abandoning him. Fighting furiously for immigration restrictions—even quixotic, unconstitutional ones—may be more important, electorally speaking, than achieving them. And whether Powell is motivated by fear of Trump or is just less fearful of inflation, a dovish Fed is the gift every president hopes for. On Sunday, a Goldman Sachs report found that ‘the majority of market participants expect Trump to win a second term.’”
“Election Day is still a long way off. But Trump’s current Gallup approval rating (45 percent) is higher than Barack Obama’s was in April of his third year (44 percent) and only a hair below Bill Clinton’s (48 percent). At least for now, Trump’s go-it-alone strategy looks perfectly viable.”
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