Taegan Goddard's Political Wire

January 17, 2004

It's Still Tied

Sen. John Kerry is just one point ahead of Howard Dean, with Rep. Richard Gephardt and Sen. John Edward in hot pursuit, according to the latest Zogby Tracking Poll. However, it's still a four-way statistical tie: Kerry has 23 percent, Dean 22 percent, Gephardt 19 percent and Edwards 18 percent. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percent.

The Des Moines Register says the candidates' Iowa organizations "will play an even more decisive role than usual in determining the winner of what suddenly has become an extremely close four-way race for the 2004 Democratic caucuses."

In a similar piece, the Washington Post says "canvassers leave no door unknocked in the search for caucus attendees."

Update: Garance Franke-Ruta and Tom Schaller have excellent reports from Iowa.

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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