Odds For Kerry's Running Mate

Al Hunt has James Carville's odds on Sen. John Kerry's running mate:
  • John Edwards -- 6 to 5: "What Kerry needs is someone to defend him and help make his case. If you had to hire a lawyer to defend you, name a better one."
  • Dick Gephardt -- 5 to 1: "He is generally regarded as the most prepared to be president, suggests Mr. Carville, and as a man of enormous personal and public probity."
  • Bill Richardson -- 5 to 1: "Not as articulate as Edwards or as qualified as Gephardt but gives some of both." But Carville has some advice: to Gov. Richardson: "Go on a diet."
  • Evan Bayh -- 7 to 1: "A fresh face, an Edwards of the Midwest, where the 2004 election may be settled. The Indiana Democrat was governor before he was senator, and would bring some executive experience to a Kerry ticket."
  • Bob Graham -- 7 to 1: "He's the most popular figure in the most controversial state in the country."
  • Hillary Clinton -- 15 to 1: "She she would bring instant money ... to both parties and probably bring a lot more women in."
Meanwhile, Hunt says Kerry's choice of James Johnson to run his vice-presidential selection process "wins high praise." Johnson "brings a wealth of experience, contacts and political savvy. The vetting process is likely to be rigorous, even for those candidates who ran this time; Mr. Johnson knows there are some areas where Republicans might find new vulnerabilities."

Update: Ryan Lizza suggests Kerry consultant Bob Shrum will have an important say in who Kerry chooses.


March 4, 2004


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