Bush Holds Slight Edge Over Kerry

March 22, 2004

Bush Holds Slight Edge Over Kerry

A newly-released Democracy Corps Survey shows President Bush leading Sen. John Kerry 50% to 47%. The margin of error was +/- 3.1%.

But one of the most interesting results is how people identified themselves to the pollsters:

Strong Democrat -- 24%
Weak Democrat -- 13%
Independent-lean Democrat -- 11%
Independent -- 5%
Independent-lean Republican -- 10%
Weak Republican -- 12%
Strong Republican -- 23%

Now that's a 50-50 country! And it's probably the reason Stan Greenberg, who conducted the poll, recently wrote the book, The Two Americas.

Update: A new Insider Advantage poll also has Bush leading, 46% to 41% with Ralph Nader at 4%.

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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March 22, 2004