Two polls released over the weekend -- Gallup and Newsweek -- give conflicting information about whether Sen. John Kerry received a post-convention bounce. While DNC Chairman Terry McAuliffe predicted an 8% to 10% jump in the polls for Kerry, Political Wire has argued that there are many reasons a Kerry "bounce" will likely be lower than historical norms.
Update: A new CBS News Poll also finds the convention "did not generate a bounce" for Kerry but "apparently solidified the slim lead the pair held going into Boston." Kerry leads Bush 49% to 43%, just one point more than the previous CBS News poll.
The Wall Street Journal notes that the "consensus among analysts remains that this will be a close contest to the end, with both sides spending considerable time and money in about 18 swing states, particularly in the Midwest."
Meanwhile, an Economist poll conducted during the final days of the convention show Kerry leading Bush, 45% to 44%. More striking, however, are the very low approval levels President Bush received.
Update II: In a new American Research Group poll, Sen. John Kerry and President Bush "remain in a statistical tie among Americans registered to vote." Kerry gets 49% to Bush's 46%. This poll also shows very little effect from the convention.
Update III: A new ABC News/Washington Post Poll shows Kerry "took a tepid bump in support out of his nominating convention, gaining an advantage over President Bush among registered voters -- but not so among those most likely to vote." However, Kerry leads Bush as "better qualified to be commander-in-chief," by 52% to 44%.
Update IV: The Wall Street Journal analyzes the latest Zogby Interactive Poll which shows Kerry "got his convention bounce. But it is a modest one and it comes with caveats."
Here are the latest states polls from the presidential race:
