Taegan Goddard's Political Wire

September 29, 2004

New Polls

President Bush "has reopened a significant lead" over Sen. John Kerry "over the past week, even as voters express less confidence in the president on Iraq and he continues to trail Kerry on the economy," accoridng to a new Pew Research Center survey. Bush now leads 48% to 40%.

"The poll finds that Bush's gains in support are being driven more by perceptions of Kerry's weakness especially on leadership and other personal traits than by improved opinions of Bush."

The latest Economist poll shows the presidential race tied, with Bush and Kerry each getting 46%.

The latest Democracy Corps poll (D) shows Bush slightly ahead of Kerry among likely voters, 49% to 46%. We noted their latest strategy memo yesterday.

For a terrific roundup of new polls, see 2.004k.com.

Here are the latest state polls:

• New Jersey: Kerry 49, Bush 46 (Rasmussen)
• California: Kerry 53, Bush 40 (Rasmussen)
• Arkansas: Bush 51, Kerry 44 (Rasmussen)
• Oregon: Kerry 50, Bush 43 (Research 2000)

Update:

• Pennsylvania: Bush 49, Kerry 46 (Gallup - LV)
• Pennsylvania: Kerry 49, Bush 45 (Gallup - RV)
• Ohio: Bush 49, Kerry 47 (Gallup - LV)
• Ohio: Kerry 49, Bush 46 (Gallup - RV)
• Florida: Bush 52, Kerry 43 (Gallup - LV)
• Florida: Bush 49, Kerry 44 (Gallup - RV)
• Wisconsin: Bush 50, Kerry 40 (Harris)
• New Jersey: Kerry 45, Bush 44 (Fairleigh Dickinson)
• Washington: Kerry 50, Bush 43 (Rasmussen)

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Taegan D. Goddard is the creator of Political Wire, a political column updated around the clock with the most interesting news, buzz and commentary.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

This is a personal site and does not necessarily reflect the views of any company, political campaign or advocacy group.

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