Taegan Goddard's Political Wire

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October 06, 2004

New Polls

A Sacred Heart University poll finds President Bush would beat Sen. John Kerry, 48% to 43% among likely voters, if the election were held today. However, the poll interviews began before the first presidential debate last week.

Update: A new Democracy Corps survey shows Kerry moving into the lead, 49% to 48%.

The new Economist poll also shows Kerry with a one point lead, 47% to 46%.

Here are the more notable recent state polls:

• New Mexico: Kerry 46, Bush 43 (Albuquerque Journal)
• California: Kerry 49, Bush 40 (Field Poll)
• Iowa: Kerry 47, Bush 46 (University of Minnesota)
• Missouri: Bush 49, Kerry 47 (Survey USA)
• Washington: Kerry 54, Bush 43 (Survey USA)
• North Carolina: Bush 52, Kerry 45 (Survey USA)
• Ohio: Kerry 49, Bush 48 (Survey USA)
• Florida: Kerry 47, Bush 45 (ARG)
• New Hampshire: Kerry 47, Bush 47 (ARG)
• Pennsylvania: Kerry 50, Bush 43 (West Chester University)
• New Jersey: Kerry 49, Bush 46 (Quinnipiac)

Meanwhile, the Electoral Vote Predictor shows Bush leading Kerry, 285 to 232. For more polls, see 2.004k.com.

Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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