Taegan Goddard's Political Wire

October 08, 2004

New Polls

President Bush and Sen. John Kerry "are again deadlocked," 45% to 45% among likely voters, according to a new Time magazine poll. Of particular interest is that Kerry now beats Bush on "likeability."

"A key reason for Kerry’s resurgence was that he recaptured a large lead among female voters. Females now support Kerry over Bush by 12 points, 50% to 38%. Pre-debate, the Time Poll found women split evenly, 44% Kerry, 43% Bush."

Update: A Democracy Corps survey of likely voters shows Kerry leading Bush 49% to 48% nationally and ahead 50% to 47% in the battleground states.

Update II: The latest Associated Press/Ipsos-Public Affairs poll "indicates that the shape of the contest has changed, as Democratic challengers Kerry-Edwards (50%) edge narrowly ahead of Bush-Cheney (46%) among likely voters."

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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