Taegan Goddard's Political Wire

October 14, 2004

New Polls

A new poll by the Scripps Survey Research Center shows Sen. John Kerry leading President Bush, 50% to 45%, among registered voters. Among those surveyed, only 43% approve of the job Bush has done as president and 53% say it's "time for someone new."

Interestingly, when looking only at people who say they "always" or "almost always" vote, Bush leads Kerry, 48% to 47%. And among those who say they are "very certain" of their vote and who "always" participate in major elections, Bush leads Kerry, 52% to 48%.

Meanwhile, the latest tracking polls show a dead heat: ABC News/Washington Post (tie), Zogby (Bush +1), Rasmussen (Bush +2.2)

Here are some notable state polls:

• Ohio: Bush 49, Kerry 47 (Rasmussen)
• Arkansas: Bush 46, Kerry 45 (Zogby)

For more state polls, see the excellent 2.004k.com.

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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