Taegan Goddard's Political Wire

October 16, 2004

New Polls

According to a new Time magazine poll, President Bush has a slight lead over Sen. John Kerry, 48% to 46%, among likely voters. The most important finding: "Almost 1 in 3 voters (30%) said the debates made them more likely to vote for Kerry, compared to only 17% more likely to vote for Bush."

However, there's better news for Bush in the new Newsweek poll, which shows the president's lead growing from last week to 50% to 45%, among likely voters. However, among swing voters Kerry still leads 39% to 33%, with 28% still undecided.

Here are some notable recent state polls:

• Florida: Kerry 48, Bush 44 (Insider Advantage)
• Florida: Kerry 47, Bush 47 (Washington Post)
• Florida: Bush 49, Kerry 46 (Rasmussen)
• New Jersey: Kerry 44, Bush 42 (Fairleigh Dickinson)

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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