Taegan Goddard's Political Wire

October 18, 2004

New Polls

This morning's Reuters/Zogby tracking poll shows Sen. John Kerry pulling into a statistical dead heat with President Bush "in a seesawing battle for the White House." Kerry and Bush are now deadlocked at 45%.

The Rasmussen Tracking Poll also has the race tied, at 47% apiece.

The TIPP tracking poll shows Bush leading 49% to 45%.

Here are some notable state polls:

• Colorado: Bush 47, Kerry 42 (Rocky Mountain News)
• New Hampshire: Kerry 49, Bush 45 (Research 2000)
• Wisconsin: Kerry 48, Bush 47 (Rasmussen)

Reviewing the electoral vote tallies:

• Electoral Vote Predictor shows no clear winner: Kerry 257, Bush 247
• Election Projection gives a slight edge to the president: Bush 274, Kerry 264

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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