President Bush "commands a five percentage point lead" over Sen. John Kerry among likely voters, according to a new CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll. Among registered voters, Bush leads Kerry 49% to 47%.
Update: The new ABC News/Washington Post poll shows Kerry moving into a narrow lead over Bush, 49% to 48%. The real bad news for Bush is that 55% of the likely voters said they believe the country was "pretty seriously off on the wrong track."
Update II: The new Los Angeles Times poll has Bush leading Kerry 49% to 48% among likely voters.
Here are some notable state polls:
New Hampshire: Kerry 50, Bush 41 (Franklin Pierce College)