The Intensity Gap -- Political Wire

The Intensity Gap

E.J. Dionne points out that, according to the latest poll findings, Sen. John Kerry's supporters "are more likely" than President Bush's "to believe that this year's election is the most important of their lifetimes... As a political matter, this intensity gap suggests that even if Bush has been successful in mobilizing the Republican Party's political base, he has been even more successful in mobilizing Democrats."

Meanwhile, in an interesting corollary, Tom Oliphant notes that "in several of the most closely contested states" Bush "is being kept away because his appearances tend to gin up the local Democrats as much as they do Republicans. In the so-called Red states Bush carried in 2000 that he is most in danger of losing to Kerry -- New Hampshire, Ohio, and Nevada most prominently -- Bush's absences since the debates have been noteworthy."

October 26, 2004

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Taegan D. Goddard is the creator of Political Wire, a political column updated around the clock with the most interesting news, buzz and commentary.

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