Regarding the Latest Polls -- Political Wire

Regarding the Latest Polls

No matter how much you look at the polls, it's shaping up to be an extremely close election. That's about all they tell us right now. None of the tracking polls or state polls give us clear guidance as to who is going to win the presidential election next Tuesday. Of course, when we do find polls that give us insight into who will win, you'll read about them first on Political Wire.

For instance, a new Miami Herald/Zogby poll in Florida gives Kerry a big lead in Miami-Dade county of "anywhere from 90,000 to 100,000 votes. A margin that large in Florida's most populous county would be hard for Bush to make up across the rest of the state."

In addition, Alan Abramowitz has a pretty good analysis of the latest national polls. "Bush appears to hold a very slight lead nationally, but his support remains below the 50 percent level that is generally considered necessary for an incumbent since undecided voters generally break toward the challenger by a wide margin."

For those who still want more polling data, please check these sources:

If readers have any additional insights into these polls or electoral tallies, please let me know.

October 29, 2004

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Taegan D. Goddard is the creator of Political Wire, a political column updated around the clock with the most interesting news, buzz and commentary.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

This is a personal site and does not necessarily reflect the views of any company, political campaign or advocacy group.

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