Weather Forecast -- Political Wire

Weather Forecast

It's all about turnout and weather affects turnout. So here are the forecasts for the key battleground states we identified yesterday:

Florida: Showers in the panhandle region, cloudy elsewhere.
Ohio: Thunderstorms and rain across the state.
Pennsylvania: Showers across most of the state.
Wisconsin: Partly to mostly cloudy, possible showers in the morning.
Minnesota: Sunny to partly cloudy.
Iowa: Mostly clear.
New Mexico: Partly cloudy.
Nevada: Sunny.

AccuWeather notes "the best example of weather potentially affecting an election was the extremely close presidential vote of 1948, when Democrat Harry S. Truman won the presidency over Republican Thomas Dewey. Weather was a factor in two especially close states that were won by Truman, Illinois and California. A slight shift in vote in these states would have awarded the election to Dewey."

Intellicast has another good piece on weather's historical election impact.

November 1, 2004

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Taegan D. Goddard is the creator of Political Wire, a political column updated around the clock with the most interesting news, buzz and commentary.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

This is a personal site and does not necessarily reflect the views of any company, political campaign or advocacy group.

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