Will White House Shake Up Alter Public Opinion?

Guest contributor Stuart Rothenberg looks at the recent changes made by White House Chief of Staff Josh Bolten and whether the changes will improve President Bush's dismal approval numbers.


As Rob Portman moves into a new Administration post and Scott McClellan moves out of one, some members of the national media are abuzz. Will this help President George W. Bush as he and his party head to the í06 midterm elections?

The answer is no.

Bush haters, of course, wonít change their opinions no matter what. But the President must start to convince swing voters -- as well as Republicans who have grown disappointed with his performance -- that some significant personnel and policy changes are on the way.

The President needs to give Americans an opportunity -- and a reason -- to reevaluate his performance and the state of the nation -- and to conclude that things are going better than they thought.

That isnít going to happen by naming a new OMB director or a new press secretary. While political junkies and insiders may know who those people are and what they do, most Americans are busy with their own lives.

A major Administration shake-up, which would almost surely include the Secretary of Defense, might well get the publicís attention, leading to talk that the President was making some fundamental changes -- changes that would impact average Americans down the road.

But anything short of that is likely to be greeted with a collective yawn by most Americans, as they focus on American Idol or The Apprentice or CSI: Whatever.

The President needs what he has needed for over a year: good news, especially about Iraq and the war on terror. Unless he gets that, itís unlikely that most Americans are inclined to reevaluate the Presidentís performance, no matter how good the unemployment numbers.

-- Stuart Rothenberg is the editor of the Rothenberg Political Report.

April 19, 2006 | Related News



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