Novak: McCain in Deep Trouble

The latest Evans-Novak Political Report: "While Sen. John McCain claims that everything is 'fine' in his bid for the Republican presidential nomination, events strongly suggest otherwise. The former frontrunner is now in deep trouble. With respect to the positive signs a presidential campaign can point to at this early stage -- fundraising, national polls, state polls, endorsements -- McCain finds himself almost empty-handed."

Key points:
  • McCain has "fallen out of favor in the important state polls."
  • With respect to Q2 fundraising, he "is setting extremely low expectations by saying simply that he will raise more than that amount in the current quarter... Such a take would be woefully insufficient for him to continue in earnest, perhaps leaving him with one fourth (or less) of the cash on hand of his top competitors."
  • Many high-profile Bush supporters "are currently keeping their powder dry in spite of McCain's aggressive courtship."
  • Recent defections of "staff and high-profile supporters" are "more symptomatic than causal of McCain's problems."
  • With Fred Thompson's candidacy "all but declared, the outlook becomes even more bleak for McCain."
Meanwhile, Washington Wire notes McCain "struck back at former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, the one who seems to most get under Team McCainís skin -- and whoís come up in the polls."


June 13, 2007




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