The Campaign Has Just Begun

As "the real presidential campaign begins now," Larry Sabato points out that most national polls on the presidential race have done little except "measure name identification and personal familiarity... This will come as a great shock to the pollsters and traditional media who have already declared that the November 2008 race will be between Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani."

"Real people, even most activist voters, do not make up their mind on presidential choice until they have to do so. In Iowa and New Hampshire, still the most crucial nominating states despite all the tinkering with the schedule, voters are tough-minded and wonderfully heartless in picking the people who probably will be the general election standard-bearers. We look forward to some egg-on-face retrospectives on mainstream media coverage if those influential early voters decide to ignore the Beltway script."


September 6, 2007


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