PPP Poll: Dead Even in Texas

A new Public Policy Polling survey finds Sen. Barack Obama and Sen. Hillary Clinton tied in Texas, 48% to 48%, with just a week to go before the primary.

Analysis: "This race seems likely to come down to whether Obama can wrest enough Hispanic support away from Clinton to earn a victory. He doesn't need to win their vote, but he does need to improve on the 68% to 27% deficit he's facing right now, which is almost as great as his lead among black voters. Obama has actually taken the lead among white voters in the state, 51% to 44%."

Another factor is crossover vote in the Democratic primary. "As in other states, Obama is actually trailing among Democrats (52% to 44%) but doing very well among Republicans (76% to 20%) and independents (51% to 40%) who plan to vote in the Democratic primary because of John McCain's status as the presumptive nominee."


February 26, 2008


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