A must-read New York Times piece details how Sen. Hillary Clinton can win the Democratic presidential nomination.
She needs three breaks:
She has to defeat Sen. Barack Obama soundly in Pennsylvania next month "to buttress her argument that she holds an advantage in big general election states."
She needs to lead in the total popular vote after the primaries end in June.
She needs "some development to shake confidence" in Obama so that superdelegates will support her and "overturn his lead among the pledged delegates from primaries and caucuses."
Key problem: "Without new votes in Florida and Michigan, it will be that much more difficult for Mrs. Clinton to achieve a majority in the total popular vote in the primary season, narrow Mr. Obama’s lead among pledged delegates or build a new wave of momentum."
March 20, 2008
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