Sen. Barack Obama "could make major gains in at least nine states the Democratic ticket
lost in 2004 if he can achieve a relatively modest increase in turnout
among young and African-American voters," according to a must-read Chicago Tribune analysis of voting
data.
"That potential helps explain why the Obama
campaign chose to forgo federal funding and also why it is engaged in a
massive voter registration drive. With its unprecedented resources, the
campaign can fund an array of specific targeting operations, and Obama
exploited early versions of those to great success during the primary
campaign."
Example: "If Obama could inspire just 10 percent more Democratic
voters under 30 to go to the polls than did four years ago, that alone
could be enough to switch Iowa and New Mexico from red to blue."
June 25, 2008
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