Charlie Cook: "It is entirely plausible that McCain will attract as many votes as
President Bush did in 2004, given that Republicans often vote out of
habit or a feeling of civic duty. But there is a very good chance that
Obama will receive a record number of votes, far exceeding what John
Kerry got in 2004. And pollsters might not be able to detect a turnout
surge in advance."
June 27, 2008
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