Obama Can Win Without Majority of White Voters

Political scientist Alan Abramowitz notes that even though white voters are expected to make up 80% of the electorate in November and that five recent national polls show Sen. Barack Obama trailing Sen. John McCain by nine points among this group, he would still "decisively win" the election.

The reason? Obama holds a 20-1 margin among black voters and a 2-1 margin among Hispanic voters.

Interesting trivia: The last Democratic presidential candidate to win a majority of the white voters was Lyndon Johnson in 1964.


July 20, 2008




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