June 05, 2009


Indications of Low Turnout in Virginia

In a sign of potentially low turnout for next week's Virginia gubernatorial primary, the Richmond Times-Dispatch reports that less than half of absentee voting applications were returned.

A related observation from Mark Blumenthal: Even though recent polls show a statistical dead heat among the three Democrats running in the primary, they also find that Terry McAuliffe (D) "does best among the subgroups which have had the historically lowest levels of turnout." If overall turnout is low, this should hurt McAuliffe.

Most recent polls: Research 2000, SurveyUSA, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, Public Policy Polling.










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