Special Election Primary in California Today

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September 01, 2009

Special Election Primary in California Today

A new SurveyUSA poll in today's special primary election in CA-10 finds David Harmer (R) and John Garamendi (D) leading their respective party's races to replace former Rep. Ellen Tauscher (D-CA), who took a post in the Obama administration.

While Harmer is beating his nearest Republican challenger 4 to 1, three Democrats are bunched up, with Garamendi at 25%, Mark DeSaulnier (D) at 16%, and Joan Buchanan (D) at 12%.

Analysis: "Because turnout in a stand-alone special primary election is difficult to predict, and because voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their own party affiliation, it is possible that candidates will not finish in the order shown here... Assuming no candidate takes a majority of votes in the open primary, the top finishing candidate from each party will appear on the November general election ballot."

Polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time.

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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September 01, 2009