Reid Running Behind Two Challengers

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September 03, 2009

Reid Running Behind Two Challengers

A new DailyKos/Research 2000 poll finds Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) trailing two potential Republican challengers.

Danny Tarkanian (R) tops Reid, 45% to 40%, while Sue Lowden (R) leads, 44% to 41%.

Analysis: "If anything is killing him, it's anemic support among Democrats in those head-to-head matchups -- barely breaking 70% against both challengers. It could be argued that Reid will bring those Democrats home by election day, and he likely will score dominant numbers among Democrats once the votes are cast. The problem isn't in the percentages, but in the intensity of that support. If Democrats remain unexcited about Reid and his stewardship of the Senate, they could very well stay home on election day. If that happens, we could have the second Democratic Senate leader in six years ousted by home state voters."

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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September 03, 2009