More Evidence Points to Sketchy Pollster

Worth Clicking: Blasts from the past wound Romney

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September 26, 2009

More Evidence Points to Sketchy Pollster

As a follow up to his devastating trailing single digit analysis of Strategic Vision polling, Nate Silver did the same for Quinnipiac and finds the Strategic Vision data "is much, much, much more nonrandom than the Quinnipiac data, as compared to a uniform distribution."

The bottom line: "It is highly unlikely, in my opinion, that the distribution of the results from the Strategic Vision polls are reflective of any sort of ordinary and organic, mathematical process."

Meanwhile, Strategic Vision CEO David Johnson told The Hill he disputed Silver's suggestion.

Said Johnson: "He's got a good reputation, but I stand by our work. We've done the work, and we can prove that we've done it. The other thing is - if you look at our results, we've been accurate."

Of course, the issue at hand is Strategic Vision hasn't shown their work.

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

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Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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September 26, 2009