Hoffman Leads in NY-23

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November 01, 2009

Hoffman Leads in NY-23

The final Public Policy Polling survey in New York's 23rd congressional district finds Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman leading Bill Owens (D), 51% to 34%, with 13% for Dede Scozzafava (R), who dropped out of the race while the poll was in the field.

In a head-to-head contest, Hoffman leads Owens, 54% to 38%.

Analysis: "Polling the race was a little haphazard in a weekend with many twists and turns but Hoffman showed a similar lead at all junctures... The bottom line though is that Hoffman led by double digits during every segment of the poll, an indication that he may have been headed for a definitive victory regardless of Scozzafava's actions over the course of the weekend."

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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November 01, 2009