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December 09, 2009


Misery Index and the Midterms

Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies looks at the impact of the "misery index" -- unemployment plus inflation -- on next year's midterm elections.

"The rules are simple: of the last 15 elections, 13 were 'Change' elections in which the party that held the White House lost seats in Congress. In those "Change" elections, the average Misery Index in October going into Election Day was 10.1 and the average loss was 26 seats in the House; including, some real drubbings of more than 45 seats. The Index is at 10.02 now."












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