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March 18, 2010

Boxer Vulnerable for Re-Election

A new Field Poll in California finds Tom Campbell (R) leading Carly Fiorina (R), 28% to 22%, among likely Republican voters in the U.S. Senate primary, with Chuck DeVore (R) at 9%. However, 40% are still undecided.

In hypothetical match ups with Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) in the general election, Campbell leads Boxer, 44% to 43%, while Boxer leads Fiorina, 45% to 44%, and tops DeVore, 45% to 41%. Both findings are within the survey's margin of error.

Said pollster Mark DiCamillo: "Formerly, I would have said this is in the Democratic column, but I would say now it's got to be moved into the tossup column. There just seems to be a turning of voter opinions. I think a lot of it has to do with the Congress."

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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