Too Close to Call in Pennsylvania

Worth Clicking: Blasts from the past wound Romney

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May 12, 2010

Too Close to Call in Pennsylvania

A new Quinnipiac poll in Pennsylvania shows Rep. Joe Sestak (D) continues to close the gap in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary and now trails Sen. Arlen Specter by just two points, 44% to 42%.

Another 14% of Democrats are undecided, and 29% of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind.

Just a month ago, Specter led by 21 points. Last week, Specter led by eight points.

Said pollster Peter Brown: "The intangibles are clearly on Sestak's side. He has the momentum and the anti-incumbent wave sweeping the country is a good omen for the challenger. Troubling for Specter is that one in seven likely primary voters are undecided and incumbents -- especially 30-year incumbents who have switched parties -- rarely get much of the undecided vote."

Other new polls:

The new Franklin & Marshall poll shows Sestak leading by two points among likely voters, 38% to 36%.

The latest Mullenberg/Morning Call tracking poll shows Specter and Sestak tied at 45% each.

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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May 12, 2010