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May 12, 2010


Too Close to Call in Pennsylvania

A new Quinnipiac poll in Pennsylvania shows Rep. Joe Sestak (D) continues to close the gap in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary and now trails Sen. Arlen Specter by just two points, 44% to 42%.

Another 14% of Democrats are undecided, and 29% of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind.

Just a month ago, Specter led by 21 points. Last week, Specter led by eight points.

Said pollster Peter Brown: "The intangibles are clearly on Sestak's side. He has the momentum and the anti-incumbent wave sweeping the country is a good omen for the challenger. Troubling for Specter is that one in seven likely primary voters are undecided and incumbents -- especially 30-year incumbents who have switched parties -- rarely get much of the undecided vote."

Other new polls:

The new Franklin & Marshall poll shows Sestak leading by two points among likely voters, 38% to 36%.

The latest Mullenberg/Morning Call tracking poll shows Specter and Sestak tied at 45% each.














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