Republican Prospects Much Improved Since 2006

Worth Clicking: Blasts from the past wound Romney

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August 10, 2010

Republican Prospects Much Improved Since 2006

A new Pew Research survey finds Democrats have the edge in the generic congressional ballot over Republicans, 45% to 44%. Four years ago, however, Democrats held an 11 point lead.

"Major shifts in sentiment among key voting blocs account for the improved GOP standing in 2010. Republicans now enjoy advantages among typically loyal voting blocs that wavered in 2006, notably men and whites. The GOP is also now running better than four years ago among three key swing groups in recent elections -- independents, white Catholics and seniors."

"Republicans also continue to enjoy an engagement advantage over the Democrats, which at least in part reflects the greater disposition to vote among these voting blocs that have swung their way."

Meanwhile, the Gallup tracking poll shows Republicans with a 49% to 43% lead.

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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August 10, 2010