GOP Holds Big Lead Heading Into Final Months

Worth Clicking: Blasts from the past wound Romney

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September 07, 2010

GOP Holds Big Lead Heading Into Final Months

A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds American voters split at 43% each on which party they say they will vote for this fall. But among those most likely to vote, Republicans hold a dramatic 49% to 40% advantage.

Key finding: Only 26% think the economy is going to get better in the next year, down markedly from 47% a year ago. In addition, 61% think the country is on the wrong track, up from 48% a year ago.

"One hope for Democrats is this: There are enough pro-Democrat, pro-Obama voters available to help the party head off disaster -- if they can be persuaded to show up and vote. In the survey, those who expressed the very highest levels of interest in this year's election preferred a Republican Congress by a margin of 53% to 35%. Among all other, less interested voters, Democrats are preferred by a 20-point margin."

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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September 07, 2010