Can Sen. John Ensign (R-NV) learn any lessons from Sen. Harry Reid's (D-NV) comeback re-election, or is he just doomed in a primary?
Apples and oranges. Ensign will have a primary, does not control the state GOP, will not have the machine Reid had as his campaign and will not have a target-rich opponent as Reid did. I think he is doomed -- if he indeed still runs.
Did Reid's victory deflate the Nevada Tea Party?
Hard to tell yet. We'll know more in the fall. There really is no Tea
Party, per se, but a lot of smaller groups. They had buyer's remorse
over Angle, but could get re-engaged in the U.S. Senate primary and the
Does Sharron Angle (R) have a political future in Nevada?
Not in a statewide race. But if she runs for Dean Heller's congressional seat, I think she is the frontrunner.
Will Nevada be competitive in 2012 at the presidential level?
I think so. The Democrats still have a formidable organization and a
registration advantage. But this state has gone Republican every cycle
since 1964 except for 1992, 1996 and 2008.
I think it is fatal or near-fatal. Even if it is found to be legal, many
will think it shouldn't be and he has no good explanation. Then again,
Nevada is the Land of Second Chances, as his Dad found out after losing
two major races in the 70s.
Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.
Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.
Goddard is also co-author of You
Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political
management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from
both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public
policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country,
including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco
Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science
Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.
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