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May 03, 2011


Students Predicted Bin Laden's Location Two Years Ago

A UCLA geography class predicted in 2009 that there was an 88.9% chance that Osama bin Laden in a city less than 300 km from his last known location in Tora Bora: a region that included Abbottabad, Pakistan, where he was killed on Sunday, Science Insider reports.

"Based on information from satellites and other remote sensing systems, and reports on his movements since his last known location, the students created a probabilistic model of where he was likely to be. Their prediction of a town was based on a geographical theory called 'island biogeography': basically, that a species on a large island is much less likely to go extinct following a catastrophic event than a species on a small one."












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