Mark Penn tells GQ the five ways that President Obama could lose reelection next year.
The big one: "Obama no longer has national security as a deficit. He's answered the 3 a.m. call. But the economy is still a huge vulnerability, and there are still questions about how in touch he is with people out in the heartland. After the Gulf War, I don't think Bush 41 got cocky. He just wasn't mindful of the economy, and then he had the moment with the supermarket scanner. So for Obama, this is not the time for another Broadway date. And the period between now and the election is a Martha's Vineyard-free zone."