Forecasting Model Says Obama Will Win

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August 30, 2011

Forecasting Model Says Obama Will Win

Allan Lichtman, author of The Keys to the White House, a forecasting model that has correctly called every president since Ronald Reagan's 1984 re-election, says President Obama will win in 2012, Washington Whispers reports.

Said Lichtman: "Even if I am being conservative, I don't see how Obama can lose."

"Lichtman developed his 13 Keys in 1981. They test the performance of the party that holds the presidency. If six or more of the 13 keys go against the party in power, then the opposing party wins."

Notes Lichtman: "They've never missed. They've been right seven elections in a row. A number that goes way beyond statistical significance in a record no other system even comes close to."

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Taegan D. Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country, including the Washington Post, USA Today, Boston Globe, San Francisco Chronicle, Chicago Tribune, Philadelphia Inquirer and Christian Science Monitor.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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August 30, 2011