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December 22, 2011


Not an Anti-Incumbent Year

Alan Abramowitz doesn't see large numbers of incumbents in both parties losing their seats next November as a result of the high level of public dissatisfaction with Congress.

"Based on the historical record we can confidently predict that if a large number of incumbents lose their seats next November, it will be because 2012 is a wave election and that almost all of the defeated incumbents will come from the party on the losing side of the wave."












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