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January 09, 2012


Time is Not on Huntsman's Side

Nate Silver: "Mr. Santorum's surge in the polls became apparent about 6 days before the Iowa caucuses, giving it time to become self-reinforcing. Although we were detecting a few indications of momentum for Mr. Huntsman over the weekend, it is really just now -- less than 24 hours before the voting begins in Dixville Notch -- that the signs of it are fairly unambiguous. Were the New Hampshire primary to take place on Friday rather than Tuesday, then Mr. Huntsman's favorable trend might be extremely interesting, but it will probably be too little and too late."












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