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January 19, 2012


GOP Still Favored to Retain Control of House

Kyle Kondik updates the House forecast at Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: "Democrats need to win 25 additional House seats to retake the speaker's gavel next year. In order for them to do that, President Obama will need to win next year, and that probably won't be enough. What Democrats really need is a poisonous, damaged Republican nominee who not only loses to Obama but causes harm down the ticket."

"At this point, we believe that 341 of the 435 House seats are safe for the Republicans (189) or the Democrats (152), which leaves the other 94 as potentially competitive. Ultimately, if Republicans win all the seats we currently favor them to win, and Democrats win all the seats they are favored to win plus all 15 toss ups, Republicans would still hold a 233-202 edge in the House."












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