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March 09, 2012


Santorum Favored in Kansas

There have been no polls ahead of Saturday's GOP caucuses in Kansas, but the consensus is that Rick Santorum is the favorite.

Katrina Trinko: "Kansas is the first state to vote after Super Tuesday -- and it looks likely that Rick Santorum will score another victory here... In fact, Santorum and Paul are the only ones campaigning in the state right before Election Day."

Nate Silver: "The betting market Intrade has Mr. Santorum as a 97 percent favorite in Kansas. I certainly agree that Mr. Santorum is the front-runner there, but that's an absurd degree of confidence, especially given the poor track record of the betting market in prior caucus states... To repeat, Mr. Santorum looks like the favorite in Kansas, but there's a wide range of outcomes."












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