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May 11, 2012


Gay Marriage and the Democratic Base

Nate Silver says President Obama's decision to back gay marriage was probably driven by the fact that a majority of Democratic voter support gay marriage.

"The point is simply this: it's very unusual for someone who is the leader of his party -- and Mr. Obama is the leader of the Democratic Party as well as being the president -- to hold a position on a major issue in opposition to the clear majority of the voters within that party. In elections since World War II, instead, a party's presidential nominee has generally been someone who is close to the median of his party's voters."

His point is emphasized, as Andrew Sullivan points out, by the fact that the Democratic leadership in the House and Senate also came out in support of marriage equality.












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