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July 17, 2012


Will the Bain Attacks Move the Polls?

Nate Silver argues that because there are relatively few voters that are "persuadable" it would be "an upset" if the Obama campaign attacks on Mitt Romney's ties to Bain Capital caused a huge swing in the polls.

That said, Romney's campaign "has begun to behave like Bain Capital is more of a negative factor than a positive or even neutral one... Instead of being more forthright in his defense of Bain's activities -- a strategy that seemed to be roughly achieving a draw in the public's eyes -- he has been in damage-control mode, and has not necessarily been adroit at it."

"That means it's at least worth watching the polls over the next couple of weeks to see whether the attacks become more damaging going forward."














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