Get Political Wire by Email:

August 28, 2012

The Last Whites-Only Campaign?

Jonathan Chait: "A Republican strategist said something interesting and revealing on Friday, though it largely escaped attention in the howling gusts of punditry over Mitt Romney's birth certificate crack and a potential convention-altering hurricane. The subject was a Ron Brownstein story outlining the demographic hit rates each party requires to win in November. To squeak out a majority, Mitt Romney probably needs to win at least 61% of the white vote -- a figure exceeding what George H.W. Bush commanded over Michael Dukakis in 1988."

Said the GOP strategist: "This is the last time anyone will try to do this."

Translation: "This is their last, best chance to win an election in the party's current demographic and ideological form. Future generations of GOP politicians will have to appeal to nonwhite voters who hold far more liberal views about the role of government than does the party's current base."

John Judis: "It could still work in November 2012 -- because of Obama's weakness among the electorate. But it won't lay the basis for a new Republican majority."


Political Wire Podcast Engaging conversations about elections and the political issues of the day. Subscribe via iTunes or RSS to get episodes automatically downloaded.