Get Political Wire by Email:



November 08, 2012


The House Could Stay in GOP Hands for a Long Time

Dylan Matthews: "Before the election, I highlighted a report arguing that Republican control of state legislatures would end up earning them about 11 seats because of redistricting. The fact that the House total barely budged in a very good year for Democrats nationally -- and in which House Democrats won the popular vote -- suggests that this probably played a role. This is especially clear if you take a look at the share of House seats won by Democrats in states where Republican-controlled legislatures redistricted in 2011 and 2012, and compare that to the share of the vote President Obama won ... Accomplishing this required, as Dave Weigel noted Wednesday, truly bizarre district shapes."

"This suggests that it's going to be tough for Democrats to make big gains in the House until 2022, when the districts are drawn again following the Census. And for that to happen, they'd have to do quite well in the 2020 state legislature elections."












POLITICAL WIRE PODCAST

Political Wire Podcast Engaging conversations about elections and the political issues of the day. Subscribe via iTunes or RSS to get episodes automatically downloaded.


FREE NEWSLETTER




TRENDING VIDEO



PARTNERS











FOLLOW US