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February 26, 2013


Can Obama Put the House in Play in 2014?

Stu Rothenberg: "It's far too early to know whether Democrats will have some, or even any, chance to win back the House next year; candidate recruitment has just begun, the number of retirements (and open seats) is uncertain and the president's popularity more than 20 months from now is an open question. But we do know that history, as The New York Times' Nate Silver pointed out in a column last November, suggests that Democrats will have a very tough road to 218 seats."

"Going back to the election of 1862, the only time the president's party gained as many as 10 seats was, well, never. Even in 1934, the best showing by the president's party in House elections since the Civil War, the president's party gained only nine seats."












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